The Boston Red Sox should sell now

Published: Jul 17, 2014 15:07pm EDT
By Lance Rinker, Managing Editor for Konsume Sports

Please Note: This article was updated Jul 17, 2014 @ 05:34pm EDT

 

The Boston Red Sox sit in last place in their division, 9.5 games behind the first place Baltimore Orioles, and are a woeful nine games under .500. Somehow, though, Red Sox general manager Ben Cherington feels that this isn’t a lost season for the team at this point.

Cherington appeared on WEEI’s “Dennis & Callahan” radio show Thursday morning and said he believes the team is capable of being better than several of the teams ahead of them in the standings. He also said that there’s a chance for a second-half run.

"We've put ourselves in this position, so the math is working against us a little bit," he said. "But stranger things have happened. We don't see why we can't win more games than most of the teams ahead of us."

A giant crater opened up in the middle of Siberia a few days ago, so perhaps that is what Cherington was referencing when he said “stranger things have happened.” The fact of the matter is that the Red Sox have just a 2.2 percent chance of winning their division and a 1.3 percent chance of earning a wild-card berth, according to Baseball Prospectus’ playoff odds.

Sprinkle in a tougher second-half schedule then every division rival but the Orioles, and also a tougher second half schedule than all but a handful of teams in the American League and you have a recipe for a team destined to experience their first losing season since 2012, and potentially their first 95-loss season in over 80 years.

There is a silver lining, however.

This roster is made up of veteran players that contending teams routinely trade for at the trade deadline. Unloading useful pieces such as Jonny Gomes, Shane Victorino, Stephen Drew and even Jake Peavy could bring back decent prospects or something useful for 2015 and beyond. Then there are players like Dustin Pedroia, John Lackey and Jon Lester that could bring back a haul and expedite the rebuilding that is necessary to be contenders again.

It seems silly to think of a team that won the World Series just last year would need to rebuild so quickly, but that’s the reality for the organization whether they care to admit it or not.

Their lineup, regardless of variation used by manager John Farrell, hasn’t hit well all season. The team has scored 367 runs, the fewest in the American League, have hit 68 home runs, fourth fewest in all of baseball, and are hitting just .246 as a team. The starting rotation is hanging by a thread thanks to the likes of Lester and an inconsistent Lackey.  

Clinging to hope for an outside shot at the second wild-card spot or a barely-over .500 season as a result of a second-half miracle run is irresponsible - especially when you lack the impact talent to make such a run.


 

Comments (5)



  • Anonymous   Jul 19, 2014 @ 07:54PM
    Lance isn't even a moron. In fact, he's pretty damn smart and I like him. That said, I'm not sure I agree that the Red Sox are going to need any time to rebuild. They've had a tough first half but this is (mostly) the same team that won the World Series last year. I think there will be some significant acquisitions over the coming off-season, but even without this team should be in the thick of things next season. Unless they let Jon Lester walk and don't replace him, but I don't expect that to happen. -

  • Lance Rinker   Jul 19, 2014 @ 10:55AM
    Pedroia is in the decline phase of his career. Sell high while you still can. And I appreciate you mentioning that my spelling and grammar is error-free. -

  • Anonymous   Jul 19, 2014 @ 05:05AM
    Well Lance, you aren't a complete moron, but you are a moron. Merely bringing up the possibility of trading Pedroia confirms that. And this part too: "the rebuilding that is necessary to be contenders again." No rebuilding is necessary for the Red Sox to be contenders in 2015. Only a complete moron would think otherwise.

    But your spelling and grammar is error-free so clearly you aren't a complete moron. -

  • Lance Rinker   Jul 18, 2014 @ 12:59PM
    I don't know if I'd consider myself a complete moron. -

  • Anonymous   Jul 17, 2014 @ 07:17PM
    You are a complete moron. -

Lance Rinker
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