#9 TCU Horned Frogs Visit #5 Baylor Bears for Big XII Control

Published: Oct 11, 2014 05:24am EDT
By Michael Owen, Sports Writer for Konsume Sports

Please Note: This article was updated Oct 12, 2014 @ 04:05pm EDT

 

Where: McLane Stadium, Waco, TX

When: Saturday Oct. 11, 2:30 pm

Series History: tied 51-51-7, First meeting held in 1899 (0-0 tie)

Last Meeting: 11/30/13, Baylor 41-38, in Ft. Worth

Line: Baylor -8

TV: ABC or ESPN2 (depending on Regional Coverage)

(Waco, TX) – In years past, Texas/OU weekend is usually one of the biggest games of the year not only in the Big XII, but the country. This year, it won't even be the biggest game in the State, if not the Nation. That distinction belongs to a match up between No. 9 TCU (4-0, 1-0 Big 12) and No. 5 Baylor (5-0, 2-0), the last undefeated teams in the Big XII and two of only nine in the Top 25.

Something's gotta give.

After coming off of two very mediocre seasons, the newly No. 9 ranked TCU Horned Frogs, fresh off a huge home upset over the previously unbeaten conference favorite and 4th ranked Oklahoma Sooners 37-33 travel to Waco to take on the Bears.

"We understand the significance of this ball game. We're both undefeated," TCU coach Gary Patterson said. "Whoever wins the ball game would have the driver's seat along with the other unbeatens going forward."

The Bears took care of business last week, defeating the unranked Texas Longhorns on the road 28-7 in Austin. While the victory was not an overly impressive one, it was an easy one and anytime a team can go on the road to Austin and win a conference game, it's a plus.

In what be the biggest game in not only the newly built on campus McLane Stadium, but in recent memory in Waco, the Frogs and Bears take the field in what could and should determine the supremacy of the Big XII in 2014.

Baylor, led by Senior Heisman hopeful Bryce Petty, sits atop the NCAA in scoring at 51 points per game will hope to get up and strike early on the Frogs. That will be a tall order as TCU comes into the game ranked #7 in the country in points allowed at 13.5 ppg, despite giving up the 33 points against OU last week.

On the other side of the ball, TCU is no slouch on offense, scoring over 42.8 ppg, good for 12th in the Nation, however the Bears, while mostly untested have given up only 12.4 per game, good for 5th in the NCAA.

What To Expect: Baylor carries a 12-game home win streak, (a school record and tied for the nation's second-best active string) possesses the nation’s top offense and ranks in the top 40 in the nation in all strength-of-schedule adjusted efficiency metrics, averages three more yards per play than its opponents (second in the FBS to Marshall). Baylor also ranks first in the nation in scoring margin (38.6 points per game, a full touchdown over Marshall). While most of the team’s fourth quarters so far have been irrelevant as their opponents have been out of reach, Baylor still ranks in the top 10 in the nation in plays per game, a number that is relevant when looking a game of this magnitude's tempo.

TCU on the other hand is 5-2 in it's last seven games against Top 5 opponents, 26-23-1 on the road against Baylor, plus TCU Coach Patterson holds a 15-14 record vs ranked opponents to go along with a 4-2 overall record against Baylor. Needless to say, since the Patterson era began in Fort Worth, the Frogs have rarely come into a game unprepared.

Prediction: Baylor tops TCU 34-28. While the TCU defense is and has historically been one of the tops in the Nation since Patterson took over, the Bears offense is just too powerful for really anyone to keep up with, much less the Frogs on the road, in one of the NCAA's best games of the year.


 

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